The basic calculation
Start with costs caused by the refinance: lender and third-party charges, points, appraisal, title or settlement costs, and any prepayment penalty. Subtract credits that reduce those costs. If fees are added to the new balance, they are not free: they increase the amount borrowed and can create additional interest. The CFPB explains that no-cost offers commonly use a higher rate or a larger loan amount.
Break-even months = net refinance costs ÷ monthly principal-and-interest savings
Compare equivalent payments. If taxes, insurance, mortgage insurance, or HOA dues change, include those changes separately. The Federal Reserve guide cautions that a prepayment penalty adds to break-even time and a longer new term can slow equity growth.
Hypothetical example
Assume a current principal-and-interest payment of $2,000, a hypothetical new payment of $1,800, and $6,000 in net refinance costs paid at closing. Monthly savings are $200. $6,000 ÷ $200 = 30 months, or 2.5 years. If the borrower sells or refinances again before roughly 30 months, this simple test does not show recovery of the costs. These are invented assumptions, not a current rate quote; taxes, insurance, mortgage insurance, HOA dues, changing balances, and tax treatment are excluded. Ask the lender for a side-by-side comparison using the actual payoff, term, rate, APR, payment components, and cash required.
What can change the result?
A lower payment may come from restarting a longer amortization period. Compare remaining term, new term, total interest, principal paid down, and cash-to-close—not only the payment. Eligibility and pricing depend on the lender and loan program; income, assets, credit, debts, property value, LTV, occupancy, and documentation can matter. There is no universal credit score, DTI, down payment, or DSCR rule for every lender. Fannie Mae’s calculator lists comparison inputs and warns that results do not indicate approval. Review the official Loan Estimate.
This is general education only. Sam Urban is a licensed California REALTOR®, not a mortgage loan originator. He does not quote rates, underwrite loans, determine eligibility, or provide tax or legal advice.